Strategy: Dual-Outcome Predictive Arbitrage

Strategy Overview

• Potential Profit: +5.9% to +6.0% (ROI)
• Required Assets: USD / Stablecoins
• Complexity: Medium

Step-by-Step Guide

1. Identify Signal #38/39 opportunities regarding the capture or partial capture of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026.
2. Execute position for 'YES' on Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka ($target_price: $0.94).
3. Execute hedge position or secondary trade if applicable via 'NO' own any part ('Will Russia capture all of...') at price $0.55 per instructions in signal #39.
4. Monitor spread and liquidity as certain spreads may reach up to 17%, especially prior to Korean market open hours.

Risk & Safety Note

*Warning - Market Volatilityed Risk: Do not overleverage your positions ("don't go overboard with leverage"). Be aware that while a spreading gap exists (~17%), sudden movements during South Korea trading hours (approximate UTC+9 opening) can cause significant slippage or "shave" profits («могут и побрить»). Monitor closely when markets become active.*

! DYOR (Do Your Own Research)